Stocks outperform bonds in the long run. Well, in the 1800s that was the realllly long run. 70 years long run.
Article from the FT (via Random Roger).

Stocks outperform bonds in the long run. Well, in the 1800s that was the realllly long run. 70 years long run.
Article from the FT (via Random Roger).

Before the Fed, the US tended to experience slight deflation over time, hence the outperformance of fixed income instruments.
How would the TAA model have fared 1803 -1871?
Of course if you added re-invested dividends you'd find that stock market investing was pretty profitable over that 70 year period you are talking about. Most investors focus solely on capital gains and seem to forget that dividends are the soundest fundamental indicator of a business' ability to generate cash flow..
Of course if you added re-invested dividends you'd find that stock market investing was pretty profitable over that 70 year period you are talking about. Most investors focus solely on capital gains and seem to forget that dividends are the soundest fundamental indicator of a business' ability to generate cash flow..